Center for Adaptive Rationality Publications 2020-2022/23

Journal Article

Artinger, F. M., Gigerenzer, G., & Jacobs, P. (2022). Satisficing: Integrating two traditions. Journal of Economic Literature, 60(2), 598–635. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20201396

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Betsch, C., Schmid, P., Verger, P., Lewandowsky, S., Soveri, A., Hertwig, R., Fasce, A., Holford, D., De Raeve, P., Gagneur, A., Vuolanto, P., Correia, T., Tavoschi, L., Declich, S., Marceca, M., Linos, A., Karnaki, P., Karlsson, L., & Garrison, A. (2022). A call for immediate action to increase COVID-19 vaccination uptake to prepare for the third pandemic winter. Nature Communications, 13, Article 7511. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-34995-y

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Journal Article

Blake, K. R., McCartney, M., & Arslan, R. C. (2022). Menstrual cycle and hormonal contraception effects on self-efficacy, assertiveness, regulatory focus, optimism, impulsiveness, and risk-taking. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 103, Article 104382. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jesp.2022.104382

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Journal Article

Bolenz, F., & Eppinger, B. (2022). Valence bias in metacontrol of decision making in adolescents and young adults. Child Development, 93(2), e103–e116. https://doi.org/10.1111/cdev.13693

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Journal Article

Bolenz, F., Profitt, M. F., Stechbarth, F., Eppinger, B., & Strobel, A. (2022). Need for cognition does not account for individual differences in metacontrol of decision making. Scientific Reports, 12, Article 8240. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-12341-y

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Journal Article

Borukhson, D., Lorenz-Spreen, P., & Ragni, M. (2022). When does an individual accept misinformation? An extended investigation through cognitive modeling. Computational Brain & Behavior, 5, 244–260. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42113-022-00136-3

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Journal Article

Ciranka, S., Linde-Domingo, J., Padezhki, I., Wicharz, C., Wu, C. M., & Spitzer, B. (2022). Asymmetric reinforcement learning facilitates human inference of transitive relations. Nature Human Behaviour, 6, 555–564. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01263-w

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Journal Article

Debbeler, L. J., Pohrt, A., Fleischmann-Struzek, C., Schwarzkopf, D., Born, S., Reinhart, K., & Wegwarth, O. (2022). Text-based vs. graphical information formats in sepsis prevention and early detection: A randomized controlled trial on informed choice. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 11, Article 3659. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm11133659

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Journal Article

Deffner, D., Kandler, A., & Fogarty, L. (2022). Effective population size for culturally evolving traits. PLoS ONE, 18(4), Article e1009430. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009430

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Journal Article

Deffner, D., & McElreath, R. (2022). When does selection favor learning from the old? Social learning in age-structured populations. PLoS ONE, 17(4), Article e0267204. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0267204

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Journal Article

Deffner, D., Rohrer, J. M., & McElreath, R. (2022). A causal framework for cross-cultural generalizability. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science, 5(3), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1177/25152459221106366

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Journal Article

Dezecache, G., Dockendorff, M., Ferreiro, D. N., Deroy, O., & Bahrami, B. (2022). Democratic forecast: Small groups predict the future better than individuals and crowds. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 28(3), 525–537. https://doi.org/10.1037/xap0000424

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Journal Article

Dwyer, D. B., Buciuman, M.-O., Ruef, A., Kambeitz, J., Dong, M. S., Stinson, C., Kambeitz-Ilankovic, L., Degenhardt, F., Sanfelici, R., Antonucci, L. A., Lalousis, P. A., Wenzel, J., Urquijo-Castro, M. F., Popovic, D., Oeztuerk, O. F., Haas, S. S., Weiske, J., Hauke, D., Neufang, S., Schmidt-Kraepelin, C., Ruhrmann, S., Penzel, N., Lichtenstein, T., Rosen, M., Chisholm, K., Riecher-Rössler, A., Egloff, L., Schmidt, A., Andreou, C., Hietala, J., Schirmer, T., Romer, G., Michel, C., Rössler, W., Maj, C., Borisov, O., Krawitz, P. M., Falkai, P., Pantelis, C., Lencer, R., Bertolino, A., Borgwardt, S., Noethen, M., Brambilla, P., Schultze-Lutter, F., Meisenzahl, E., Wood, S. J., Davatzikos, C., Upthegrove, R., Salokangas, R. K. R., Koutsouleris, N., & PRONIA Consortium. (2022). Clinical, brain, and multilevel clustering in early psychosis and affective stages. JAMA Psychiatry, 79(7), 677–689. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2022.1163

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Journal Article

El Zein, M., Dolan, R. J., & Bahrami, B. (2022). Shared responsibility decreases the sense of agency in the human brain. Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience, 34(11), 2065–2081. https://doi.org/10.1162/jocn_a_01896

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Journal Article

Fischer, H., Huff, M., & Said, N. (2022). Polarized climate change beliefs: No evidence for science literacy driving motivated reasoning in a U.S. national study. American Psychologist, 77(7), 822–835. https://doi.org/10.1037/amp0000982

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Journal Article

Fleischhut, N., Artinger, F. M., Olschewski, S., & Hertwig, R. (2022). Not all uncertainty is treated equally: Information search under social and nonsocial uncertainty. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 35(2), Article e2250. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2250

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Journal Article

Garnier, S., & Moussaïd, M. (2022). We the swarm: Methodological, theoretical, and societal (r)evolutions in collective decision-making research. Collective Intelligence, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.1177/26339137221133400

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Journal Article

Garrett, P. M., White, J. P., Dennis, S., Lewandowsky, S., Yang, C.-T., Okan, Y., Perfors, A., Little, D. R., Kozyreva, A., Lorenz-Spreen, P., Kusumi, T., & Kashima, Y. (2022). Papers please: Predictive factors of national and international attitudes toward immunity and vaccination passports. Online representative surveys. JMIR Public Health and Surveillance, 8(7), Article e32969. https://doi.org/10.2196/32969

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Journal Article

Gigerenzer, G., Reb, J., & Luan, S. (2022). Smart heuristics for individuals, teams, and organizations. Annual Review of Organizational Psychology and Organizational Behavior, 9, 171–198. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-orgpsych-012420-090506

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Journal Article

Gollwitzer, A., Olcaysoy Okten, I., Pizarro, A. O., & Oettingen, G. (2022). Discordant knowing: A social cognitive structure underlying fanaticism. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 151(11), 2846–2878. https://doi.org/10.1037/xge0001219

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Journal Article

Grueneisen, S., & Warneken, F. (2022). The development of prosocial behavior: From sympathy to strategy. Current Opinion in Psychology, 43, 323–328. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.copsyc.2021.08.005

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Journal Article

Hansen, M. J., Krause, S., Dhellemmes, F., Pacher, K., Kurvers, R. H. J. M., Domenici, P., & Krause, J. (2022). Mechanisms of prey division in striped marlin, a marine group hunting predator. Communications Biology, 5, Article 1161. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03951-3

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Journal Article

Heinrich, M., Woike, J. K., Spies, C. D., & Wegwarth, O. (2022). Forecasting postoperative delirium in older adult patients with fast-and-frugal decision trees. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 11(19), Article 5629. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm11195629

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Journal Article

Hertwig, R., & Ellerbrock, D. (2022). Why people choose deliberate ignorance in times of societal transformation. Cognition, 229, Article 105247. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2022.105247

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Journal Article

Hertwig, R., Leuker, C., Pachur, T., Spiliopoulos, L., & Pleskac, T. J. (2022). Studies in ecological rationality. Topics in Cognitive Science, 14(3), 467–491. https://doi.org/10.1111/tops.12567

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Journal Article

Hertwig, R., & Mazar, N. (2022). Toward a taxonomy and review of honesty interventions. Current Opinion in Psychology, 47, Article 101410. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101410

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Journal Article

Hertwig, R., & Wulff, D. U. (2022). A description-experience framework of the psychology of risk. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 17(3), 631–651. https://doi.org/10.1177/17456916211026896

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Journal Article

Herzog, S. M., & Hertwig, R. (2022). Kompetenzen mit “Boosts” stärken: Verhaltenswissenschaftliche Erkenntnisse jenseits von “Nudging.” Report Psychologie, 47(4), 18–21.

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Journal Article

Hofmans, L., & van den Bos, W. (2022). Social learning across adolescence: A Bayesian neurocognitive perspective. Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience, 58, Article 101151. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dcn.2022.101151

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Journal Article

Holzleitner, I. J., Driebe, J. C., Arslan, R. C., Hahn, A. C., Lee, A. J., O’Shea, K. J., Gerlach, T. M., Penke, L., Jones, B. C., & DeBruine, L. M. (2022). No increased inbreeding avoidance during the ovulatory phase of the menstrual cycle. Evolutionary Human Sciences, 4, Article e47. https://doi.org/10.1017/ehs.2022.41

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Journal Article

Jaquiery, M., & El Zein, M. (2022). Stage 2 Registered Report: How responsibility attributions to self and others relate to outcome ownership in group decisions [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]. Wellcome Open Research, 6, Article 362. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.17504.2

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Journal Article

Jenny, M. A., & Betsch, C. (2022). Large-scale behavioural data are key to climate policy. Nature Human Behaviour, 6, 1444–1447. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01479-4

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Journal Article

Kämmer, J. E., & Ewers, M. (2022). Stereotypes of experienced health professionals in an interprofessional context: Results from a cross-sectional survey in Germany. Journal of Interprofessional Care, 36(3), 350–361. https://doi.org/10.1080/13561820.2021.1903405

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Journal Article

Kämmer, J. E., & Hautz, W. E. (2022). Beyond competence: Towards a more holistic perspective in medical education. Medical Education, 56(1), 4–6. https://doi.org/10.1111/medu.14692

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Journal Article

Karakuzu, A., Appelhoff, S., Auer, T., Boudreau, M., Feingold, F., Khan, A. R., Lazari, A., Markiewicz, C., Mulder, M., Phillips, C., Salo, T., Stikov, N., Whitaker, K., & de Hollander, G. (2022). qMRI-BIDS: An extension to the brain imaging data structure for quantitative magnetic resonance imaging data. Scientific Data, 9, Article 517. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01571-4

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Journal Article

Keshmirian, A., Deroy, O., & Bahrami, B. (2022). Many heads are more utilitarian than one. Cognition, 220, Article 104965. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2021.104965

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Journal Article

Keshmirian, A., Hemmatian, B., Bahrami, B., Deroy, O., & Cushman, F. (2022). Diffusion of punishment in collective norm violations. Scientific Reports, 12, Article 15318. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-19156-x

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Journal Article

Kilb, M., Dickhäuser, O., & Mata, J. (2022). A theory-based video intervention to enhance communication and engagement in online health communities: Two experiments. Health Psychology and Behavioral Medicine, 10(1), 199–228. https://doi.org/10.1080/21642850.2022.2032074

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Journal Article

Knobl, V., Dallacker, M., Hertwig, R., & Mata, J. (2022). Happy and healthy: How family mealtime routines relate to child nutritional health. Appetite, 171, Article 105939. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.appet.2022.105939

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Journal Article

Krefeld-Schwalb, A., Pachur, T., & Scheibehenne, B. (2022). Structural parameter interdependencies in computational models of cognition. Psychological Review, 129(2), 313–339. https://doi.org/10.1037/rev0000285

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Journal Article

Kuroda, K., Ogura, Y., Ogawa, A., Tamei, T., Ikeda, K., & Kameda, T. (2022). Behavioral and neuro-cognitive bases for emergence of norms and socially shared realities via dynamic interaction. Communications Biology, 5, Article 1379. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-04329-1

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Journal Article

Kurvers, R. H. J. M., & Snijders, L. (2022). Group size: The balance of the sexes. A large-scale experiment demonstrates sex differences in cooperation and competition that can explain group size variation in ostriches. eLife, 11, Article e83254. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.83254

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Journal Article

Langener, A. M., Kramer, A.-W., van den Bos, W., & Huizenga, H. M. (2022). A shortened version of Raven’s standard progressive matrices for children and adolescents. British Journal of Developmental Psychology, 40(1), 35–45. https://doi.org/10.1111/bjdp.12381

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Journal Article

Lejarraga, T., & Hertwig, R. (2022). Three theories of choice and their psychology of losses. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 17(2), 334–345. https://doi.org/10.1177/17456916211001332

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Journal Article

Leuker, C., Eggeling, L. M., Fleischhut, N., Gubernath, J., Gumenik, K., Hechtlinger, S., Kozyreva, A., Samaan, L., & Hertwig, R. (2022). Misinformation in Germany during the COVID-19 pandemic: A cross-sectional survey on citizens’ perceptions and individual differences in the belief in false information. European Journal of Health Communication, 3(2), 13–39. https://doi.org/10.47368/ejhc.2022.202

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Journal Article

Li, Y., Luan, S., Li, Y., Wu, J., Li, W., & Hertwig, R. (2022). Does risk perception motivate preventive behavior during a pandemic? A longitudinal study in the United States and China. American Psychologist, 77(1), 111–123. https://doi.org/10.1037/amp0000885

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Journal Article

Li, Y., & Siew, C. S. Q. (2022). Diachronic semantic change in language is constrained by how people use and learn language. Memory & Cognition, 50, 1284–1298. https://doi.org/10.3758/s13421-022-01331-0

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Journal Article

Litvinova, A., Kurvers, R. H. J. M., Hertwig, R., & Herzog, S. M. (2022). How experts' own inconsistency relates to their confidence and between-expert disagreement. Scientific Reports, 12, Article 9273. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-12847-5

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Journal Article

Mahmoodi, A., Nili, H., Bang, D., Mehring, C., & Bahrami, B. (2022). Distinct neurocomputational mechanisms support informational and normative conformity. PLoS Biology, 20(3), Article e3001565. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3001565

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Journal Article

Maier, B. F., Wiedermann, M., Burdinski, A., Klamser, P. P., Jenny, M. A., Betsch, C., & Brockmann, D. (2022). Germany’s fourth COVID-19 wave was mainly driven by the unvaccinated. Communications Medicine, 2, Article 116. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43856-022-00176-7

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Journal Article

ManyPrimates, Aguenounon, G., Allritz, M., Altschul, D. M., Ballesta, S., Beaud, A., Bohn, M., Bornbusch, S. L., Brandão, A., Brooks, J., Bugnyar, T., Bustamante, L., Call, J., Canteloup, C., Cao, C., Caspar, K. R., da Silva, D., de Sousa, A. A., DeTroy, S. E., Duguid, S., Eppley, T. M., Gong, C., Fichtel, C., Fischer, J., Grebe, N. M., Hanus, D., Haun, D., Haux, L. M., Héjja-Brichard, Y., Helman, A., Hernadi, I., Hernandez-Aguilar, R. A., Herrmann, E., Hopper, L. M., Howard, L. H., Huang, L., Huskisson, S. M., Jacobs, I., Jin, Z., Joly, M., Kano, F., Keupp, S., Kiefer, E., Knakker, B., Kóczán, K., Kraus, L., Kwok, S. C., Lefrançois, M., Lewis, L., Liu, S., Llorente, M., Lonsdorf, E., Loyant, L., Majecka, K., Maurits, L., Meunier, H., Mobili, F., Morino, L., Motes-Rodrigo, A., Nijman, V., Ihomi, C. N., Persson, T., Pietraszewski, D., Reátiga Parrish, J. F., Roig, A., Sánchez-Amaro, A., Sato, Y., Sauciuc, G.-A., Schrock, A. E., Schweinfurth, M. K., Seed, A., Shearer, C. L., Šlipogor, V., Su, Y., Sutherland, K., Tan, J., Taylor, D., Troisi, C. A., Völter, C. J., Warren, E., Watzek, J., & Zablocki-Thomas, P. (2022). The evolution of primate short-term memory. Animal Behavior and Cognition, 9(4), 428–516. https://doi.org/10.26451/abc.09.04.06.2022

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Margraf, J., Lavallee, K. L., Zhang, X. C., Woike, J. K., & Schneider, S. (2022). Mental health and the wish to have a child: A longitudinal, cross-cultural comparison between Germany and China. Journal of Psychosomatic Obstetrics & Gynecology, 43(2), 177–189. https://doi.org/10.1080/0167482X.2020.1816959

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Journal Article

Marshall, J., Gollwitzer, A., Mermin-Bunnell, K., & Mandalaywala, T. (2022). The role of status in the early emergence of pro-White bias in rural Uganda. Developmental Science, 25(4), Article e13240. https://doi.org/10.1111/desc.13240

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Journal Article

Möhrlen, C., Bessa, R. J., & Fleischhut, N. (2022). A decision-making experiment under wind power forecast uncertainty. Meteorological Applications, 29(3), Article e2077. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2077

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Möhrlen, C., Giebel, G., Bessa, R. J., & Fleischhut, N. (2022). How do humans decide under wind power forecast uncertainty: An IEA wind task 36 'Probabilistic Forecast Games and Experiments' initiative. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 2151, Article 012014. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2151/1/012014

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Journal Article

Morais, A. S., & Hertwig, R. (2022). Experimental methods are not neutral tools. APS Observer, 35(5).

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Navajas, J., Armand, O., Moran, R., Bahrami, B., & Deroy, O. (2022). Diversity of opinions promotes herding in uncertain crowds. Royal Society Open Science, 9(6), Article 191497. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.191497

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Journal Article

Niso, G., Botvinik-Nezer, R., Appelhoff, S., De La Vega, A., Esteban, O., Etzel, J. A., Finc, K., Ganz, M., Gau, R., Halchenko, Y. O., Herholz, P., Karakuzu, A., Keator, D. B., Markiewicz, C. J., Maumet, C., Pernet, C. R., Pestilli, F., Queder, N., Schmitt, T., Sójka, W., Wagner, A. S., Whitaker, K. J., & Rieger, J. W. (2022). Open and reproducible neuroimaging: From study inception to publication. NeuroImage, 263, Article 119623. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neuroimage.2022.119623

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Norgaard, M., Matheson, G. J., Hansen, H. D., Thomas, A., Searle, G., Rizzo, G., Veronese, M., Giacomel, A., Yaqub, M., Tonietto, M., Funck, T., Gillman, A., Boniface, H., Routier, A., Dalenberg, J. R., Betthauser, T., Feingold, F., Markiewicz, C. J., Gorgolewski, K. J., Blair, R. W., Appelhoff, S., Gau, R., Salo, T., Niso, G., Pernet, C., Phillips, C., Oostenveld, R., Gallezot, J.-D., Carson, R. E., Knudsen, G. M., Innis, R. B., & Ganz, M. (2022). PET-BIDS: An extension to the brain imaging data structure for positron emission tomography. Scientific Data, 9, Article 65. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01164-1

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Nury, E., Schmucker, C., Nagavci, B., Motschall, E., Nitschke, K., Schulte, E., Wegwarth, O., & Meerpohl, J. J. (2022). Efficacy and safety of strong opioids for chronic noncancer pain and chronic low back pain: A systematic review and meta-analyses. Pain, 163(4), 610–636. https://doi.org/10.1097/j.pain.0000000000002423

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Oettingen, G., Gollwitzer, A., Jung, J., & Olcaysoy Okten, I. (2022). Misplaced certainty in the context of conspiracy theories. Current Opinion in Psychology, 46, Article 101393. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101393

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Olcaysoy Okten, I., Gollwitzer, A., & Oettingen, G. (2022). When knowledge is blinding: The dangers of being certain about the future during uncertain societal events. Personality and Individual Differences, 195, Article 111606. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2022.111606

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Pachur, T. (2022). Strategy selection in decisions from givens: Deciding at a glance? Cognitive Psychology, 136, Article 101483. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cogpsych.2022.101483

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Perkovic, S., Otterbring, T., Schärli, C., & Pachur, T. (2022). The perception of food products in adolescents, lay adults, and experts: A psychometric approach. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 28(3), 555–575. https://doi.org/10.1037/xap0000384

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Pietraszewski, D. (2022). Toward a computational theory of social groups: A finite set of cognitive primitives for representing any and all social groups in the context of conflict. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 45, Article e97. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0140525X21000583

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Pietraszewski, D. (2022). A (failed) attempt to falsify the alliance hypothesis of racial categorization: Racial categorization is not reduced when crossed with a nonalliance category. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 151(9), 2195–2203. https://doi.org/10.1037/xge0001183

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Pietraszewski, D. (2022). Author's response: More "us," less "them": An appeal for pluralism – and stand-alone computational theorizing – in our science of social groups. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 45, Article e127. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0140525X22000024

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Pietraszewski, D., & Wertz, A. E. (2022). Why evolutionary psychology should abandon modularity. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 17(2), 465–490. https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691621997113

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Rahwan, Z., Fasolo, B., & Hauser, O. P. (2022). Deception about study purpose does not affect participant behavior. Scientific Reports, 12, Article 19302 . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21972-0

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Rebitschek, F. G., Ellermann, C., Jenny, M. A., Siegel, N. A., Spinner, C., & Wagner, G. G. (2022). Fact boxes that inform individual decisions may contribute to a more positive evaluation of COVID-19 vaccinations at the population level. PLoS ONE, 17(9), Article e0274186. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0274186

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Reijula, S., & Hertwig, R. (2022). Self-nudging and the citizen choice architect. Behavioural Public Policy, 6(1), 119–149. https://doi.org/10.1017/bpp.2020.5

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Rohrer, J. M., Hünermund, P., Arslan, R. C., & Elson, M. (2022). That’s a lot to process! Pitfalls of popular path models. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science, 5(2). https://doi.org/10.1177/25152459221095827

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Rolison, J. J., Pachur, T., McCormack, T., & Feeney, A. (2022). Developmental differences in description-based versus experience-based decision making under risk in children. Journal of Experimental Child Psychology, 219, Article 105401. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jecp.2022.105401

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Roozenbeek, J., Maertens, R., Herzog, S. M., Geers, M., Kurvers, R. H. J. M., Sultan, M., & van der Linden, S. (2022). Susceptibility to misinformation is consistent across question framings and response modes and better explained by myside bias and partisanship than analytical thinking. Judgment and Decision Making, 17(3), 547–573.

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